2025 Thanksgiving Travel Forecast: Anticipating Record Participation and Trends

Thanksgiving 2025: Anticipating Record Travel Numbers and Unforgettable Journeys. Prepare for an extraordinary holiday season as travel statistics reach unprecedented levels.

As Thanksgiving approaches, millions of Americans prepare for family gatherings and holiday celebrations. According to the latest analysis by AAA, an estimated 81.8 million travelers are expected to cover at least 50 miles from their homes between November 25 and December 1. This marks an increase of 1.6 million compared to the previous year, reflecting the continued popularity of this cherished holiday.

Driving remains the preferred mode of transportation for many. With road trips central to Thanksgiving travel, AAA estimates that approximately 90% of travelers will choose cars. This underscores the importance of planning and safety during this busy period.

Top destinations and travel methods

Florida is expected to be the top domestic destination this holiday season, driven by its famous theme parks and cruise ports. Internationally, travelers are drawn to destinations in Europe, the Caribbean, and Australia, particularly for the warm spring weather prevalent at this time. These trends highlight a mix of adventure and relaxation as families aim to create lasting memories.

Understanding travel congestion

According to INRIX, a provider of transportation insights, significant traffic congestion is anticipated in the days leading up to Thanksgiving. Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons are projected to be the busiest as travelers head to their holiday destinations. Those returning home should expect heavy traffic on Sunday, especially in the afternoon. To avoid delays, early morning travel is recommended.

Travelers should also stay alert for potential delays caused by construction, accidents, or severe weather. It is essential to adhere to the “Slow Down, Move Over” rule to ensure the safety of emergency responders and other vehicles that may be stopped on the roadside.

Travel forecast methodology

The travel predictions provided by AAA are based on extensive research conducted with S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI). By analyzing various economic indicators—including employment rates, household wealth, and gasoline prices—AAA and SPGMI can accurately forecast travel volumes. This methodology has evolved over the years, with historical data dating back to 2000 enabling precise estimations of Thanksgiving travel patterns.

The data collection process involves feedback from over 50,000 U.S. households each month, helping to gauge travel behavior and spending trends. This comprehensive approach allows AAA to offer insights into the expected number of travelers and their preferred modes of transportation.

Local travel insights

In Georgia, about 2.3 million residents are projected to travel at least 50 miles this Thanksgiving, primarily by car. This represents a 1.4% increase from the previous year, indicating a growing trend in holiday travel. With flight restrictions lifted, air travel is also expected to rise, with around 152,000 Georgians planning to fly.

In light of the holiday season, AAA has launched a new initiative titled “Crashes Hit Different,” urging drivers to prioritize safety measures such as wearing seatbelts and staying attentive while driving. Garrett Townsend, AAA’s Director of Public Affairs, emphasizes the need for patience and preparation, particularly given the high number of travelers expected on the roads.

The Thanksgiving holiday in 2025 is set to see a record number of participants, with millions eager to reconnect with loved ones. By understanding travel patterns and preparing for possible congestion, travelers can ensure a memorable and safe holiday experience. Whether traveling by road or air, the spirit of Thanksgiving continues to inspire journeys that unite families and friends.

Scritto da Alessandro Bianchi

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